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Pacific Coral Reefs Face Climate Crisis: New 2025 Report Reveals Urgent Need for Global Action

A groundbreaking new assessment of Pacific coral reefs has sounded the alarm for one of Earth’s most critical ecosystems. The comprehensive report, released by the Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN) and the International Coral Reef Initiative (ICRI), at the Third United Nations Ocean Conference in Nice, presents a complex picture of resilience under mounting pressure.

The Scale of Pacific Coral Reefs

The Pacific Ocean harbors an extraordinary 26% of the world’s coral reefs, spanning 65,255 km² across 30 countries and territories. These underwater ecosystems represent far more than biodiversity hotspots, they are the lifeblood of Pacific societies, sustaining fisheries, protecting coastlines, and anchoring cultural identity.

“In many Pacific communities, coral reefs are not just ecosystems but kin, ancestors, and sacred spaces,” the report emphasizes. “Their survival is inseparable from the survival of Pacific ways of life.”

Remarkable Resilience Amid Growing Threats

Drawing from an unprecedented dataset of more than 15,000 surveys from over 8,000 sites between 1987 and 2023, and the expertise of over 100 co-authors and regional experts, the Status and Trends of Coral Reefs of the Pacific: 1980–2023 reveals a story of remarkable resilience.

Unlike many reef systems globally that have experienced dramatic declines, the Pacific’s average hard coral cover remained relatively stable at 25.5% from 1990 to 2022. This resilience stems from the region’s vast geography, high ecological diversity, and relatively low human population density.

However, this stability masks concerning underlying changes:

Climate Change Impacts

  • Bleaching Events: Coral cover declined by 2.4% during the 1998 bleaching event and 3.7% during the 2014–2017 events, with recovery taking up to six years
  • Rising Temperatures: Sea surface temperatures over coral reef areas rose by +0.82°C between 1985 and 2022
  • Marine Heatwaves: Projected increases in frequency, intensity, and duration of marine heatwaves threaten future coral survival

Ecosystem Changes

  • Species Composition Shifts: Coral communities are transitioning away from complex branching species to more massive forms, reducing the three-dimensional habitat that supports biodiversity
  • Macroalgae Increase: Competing macroalgae has increased by 2.7% across the region
  • Cyclone Impacts: From 1980 to 2023, 945 cyclones passed within 100 km of reefs, with increased intensity expected due to climate change

Human Pressures

Human populations near reefs have grown by 28.7% since 2000, increasing local pressures including pollution and overfishing, factors that compound climate-related stresses.

The Fourth Global Coral Bleaching Event

Critically, the report’s findings predate the ongoing Fourth Global Coral Bleaching Event; the most widespread and intense ever recorded. This event has affected 84% of the world’s coral areas and continues to impact reefs worldwide.

“If 2023–2024 data were included, we would likely have observed a decline in coral cover in the Pacific,” the report warns. “Without bold and transformative international progress to curb climate change, the reefs of the Pacific face an uncertain future.”

Voices from the Pacific

The report includes powerful testimony from Pacific leaders:

Taivini Teai, Minister of Agriculture, Marine Resources and the Environment of French Polynesia, stated: “This report confirms what Polynesians have been observing for years: our reefs are in danger. It reinforces our conviction that the protection of coral must be a top priority, from land to sea, by combining scientific and ancestral knowledge, political decisions and local and regional actions.”

Sefanaia Nawadra, Director General of the Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP), emphasized: “We can only survive as the Pacific Islands Region if our coral reef ecosystems continue to protect and provide, as they have for generations. This report is not just science, it is our signal to the world that Pacific reefs are still fighting, and so must we.”

The Path Forward: Eight Key Policy Actions

The International Coral Reef Initiative (ICRI) has outlined Eight Key Policy Asks for coral reef protection:

  1. Improving water quality
  2. Supporting sustainable reef fisheries
  3. Centering Indigenous knowledge in reef governance
  4. Scaling finance for reef protection
  5. Addressing the Triple-Planetary Crisis
  6. Strengthening monitoring systems
  7. Building management capacity
  8. Promoting international cooperation

Pacific nations are already pioneering many of these approaches but require greater international financial support to scale their efforts effectively.

Scientific Collaboration and Monitoring

Dr. Serge Planes, CNRS Research Director and Co-editor of the GCRMN Pacific Report, noted: “This report stands as a major reference for coral reefs in the Pacific region. It highlights the unique resilience of its coral reefs, while underscoring the urgent need for coordinated, sustained, and well-resourced action in the face of mounting pressures.”

The Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network, established in 1995, as an operational network of ICRI, operates through 10 regional nodes and collaborates with national governments, regional organizations, scientists, and local communities. Hosted by the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS), GCRMN has produced six global reports and numerous regional assessments, with the most recent global assessment being the Status of Coral Reefs of the World: 2020.

Regional Scope and Importance

The Pacific region encompasses diverse nations and territories, including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Fiji, French Polynesia, Hawaii, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, and many others.

These coral reefs provide 25-100% of dietary protein for Pacific communities and represent an integral part of Pacific culture. The region’s approximately 3,000 islands support nearly 27% of the global coral reef area, making their protection crucial for both local and global biodiversity.

A Call for Global Action

Dr. Stacy Jupiter, Executive Director of the Wildlife Conservation Society’s Global Marine Program, concluded: “Alarming increases in sea surface temperatures across many places in the Pacific indicate that safeguarding coral reef ecosystems is more urgent than ever, though ICRI’s report offers hope in that many Pacific countries and territories have robust coral cover above thresholds for critical ecosystem function.”

The full report is available at the GCRMN Pacific website, providing detailed scientific data and recommendations for policymakers, conservationists, and communities working to protect these vital ecosystems.

As the world faces an unprecedented coral bleaching crisis, the Pacific’s story offers both hope and urgency—demonstrating that with proper protection and international cooperation, coral reefs can maintain resilience even in the face of climate change, but only if we act now.


Report Citation: Wicquart J., Towle E. K., Dallison T., Staub F., and Planes S. (eds.), 2025. Status and Trends of Coral Reefs of the Pacific: 1980-2023. Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN) and International Coral Reef Initiative (ICRI). doi.org/10.59387/WIUJ2936

For more information:


About the Organizations

The Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN):

The Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN) is the primary operational monitoring network of the International Coral Reef Initiative (ICRI). Established in 1995, GCRMN provides scientifically robust, long-term data on the status and trends of the world’s coral reefs to inform policy, strengthen management, and support conservation. Hosted by the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS), the GCRMN operates through 10 regional nodes, collaborating with national governments, regional organisations, scientists, and local communities. The network plays a central role in tracking progress towards global biodiversity and sustainable development targets by promoting standardised monitoring, building technical capacity, and ensuring that coral reef data are accessible, inclusive, and policy-relevant.

To date, the GCRMN has produced 6 global reports, and numerous regional and thematic reports, with the most recent global assessment released in 2021 – the Status of Coral Reefs of the World: 2020.

The GCRMN Pacific Region
Countries & territories included

Pacific islands and archipelagos include sovereign states as well as associated states or territories of continental countries: American Samoa (USA), Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas (USA), Cook Islands, Fiji, Federated States of Micronesia, French Polynesia (France), Main and Northwestern Hawaiian Islands (USA), Kingdom of Tonga, Republic of Kiribati, Republic of the Marshall Islands, Nauru, New Caledonia (France), Niue, Republic of Palau, Pitcairn (UK), Pacific Remote Island Area (USA), Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau (NZ), Tuvalu, Vanuatu, and Wallis & Futuna (France).

Importance of coral reefs
The Pacific region is the second largest GCRMN region in terms of coral reef extent and is unique in that the coral reefs occur mainly around oceanic islands. It includes around 3,000 islands and supports almost 27% (about 65,255 km2) of the total global area of coral reefs. Spread across such a large area, these reefs vary considerably in terms of proximity to continents, reef structure, and biodiversity, as well as the frequency and intensity of natural disturbances. Coral reefs are an integral part of Pacific culture and provide a significant amount of dietary protein (25-100%).

Governance
For the Pacific region, the data integration process is ensured by Jérémy Wicquart. During the production of a report, the analyses and drafts produced by the editors are submitted to a review by the data owners supervised by the node manager (Serge Planes).


The International Coral Reef Initiative

The International Coral Reef Initiative (ICRI) is a global partnership between Nations and organizations that strives to preserve coral reefs and related ecosystems around the world. ICRI’s actions are pivotal in highlighting the global importance of coral reefs and related ecosystems to environmental sustainability, food security and social and cultural wellbeing. The work of ICRI is regularly recognised for its important cooperation, collaboration, and advocacy role within the international arena.

The Initiative was founded in 1994 by Australia, France, Japan, Jamaica, the Philippines, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America, and has since grown to a network of 102 members, including 45 countries who represent over 75% of the world’s coral reefs.

ICRI continues to advocate for the protection, effective management, restoration and sustainable use of coral reefs and associated ecosystems, promoting effective and adaptable real-world solutions to the coral reef crisis. ICRI’s actions are driven through its members, Ad Hoc Committees, and its operational network: the Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN).

ICRI is currently chaired by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, represented by the General Organization for Conservation of Coral Reefs and Turtles in the Red Sea (SHAMS). ICRI works to incorporate science into action, strengthen leadership and emerging technologies, and promote collaboration and communication among stakeholders. Activities will reach to Indigenous Peoples, local communities and youth, ensuring their knowledge and intrinsic values of coral reefs are appropriately reflected alongside augmenting new technologies to support coral reef monitoring. The capacity of managers to respond to climate change impacts will be built with opportunities taken to raise the plight of coral reefs amongst the international community, securing their protection and recovery. 

 

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Issue 130 - March2026

Meet Jacqueline Rosa, the March Cover Conservationist

Graduate oceanography student in a marine science laboratory researching oyster aquaculture and water quality
Jacqueline, a graduate student at the University of Rhode Island’s Graduate School of Oceanography, studies water quality and oyster growth in Narragansett Bay. Credit: URI Photo / Ashton Robertson

Meet The Cover Conservationist is a recurring SEVENSEAS feature that spotlights inspiring and influential people working at the forefront of ocean conservation.

Beyond the research papers, campaigns, and headlines, this series offers a more personal look at the people behind the work, exploring what drives them, challenges them, and keeps them hopeful for the future of our ocean. If there’s a conservationist you’d love to see featured on a future cover, we invite you to submit a short nomination (around 250 words) to info@sevenseasmedia.org. We receive many outstanding submissions, and while not all can be selected for publication, each is carefully considered.

Below you’ll find the merciless interrogation designed to give readers insight into our conservationist’s professional journey and the human side of life in ocean conservation. We only ask fearlessly candid, no-holds-barred questions, so get ready for a brutally honest, nail-biting interview.


1. To get our readers acquainted, why don’t you tell us just a little about yourself, what motivates you and what you are working on.

Jacqueline: I’m a second-year master’s degree student in the University of Rhode Island’s Graduate School of Oceanography. My research focuses on water quality and aquaculture, specifically investigating how water quality and gear type affect oyster growth in Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island. This work is driven by my interest to collaborate with oyster farmers and conduct research that benefits the aquaculture industry.

2. What was the moment or influence that first pulled you toward ocean conservation? Tell us about that.

Jacqueline: During college, I spent a summer along the coast of Maine assisting with lobster and scallop research projects. That experience showed me how closely science, industry, and coastal communities are connected. Working on the waterfront and interacting directly with fishermen helped me see that ocean conservation isn’t just about ecosystems; it’s also about supporting the people and livelihoods that depend on them.

3. Was there a specific place, species, experience, mentor, job, or challenge that shaped your career path?

Jacqueline: My first job after earning my bachelor’s degree was on Catalina Island, California, where I worked as a marine science instructor. It was a dynamic, adventurous, and rewarding job, one that continues to impact me today. I learned how to be an educator, communicate science, adapt quickly, and find the fun in challenging moments.

4. How do science and storytelling intersect in your work?

Jacqueline: The water quality dataset from my project helps oyster farmers understand seasonal trends in Narragansett Bay. By pairing quantitative data with observations from oyster farmers, we can tell a more complete story about what works, guide future research, and strengthen Rhode Island’s aquaculture industry through collaboration.

5. What’s one misconception people often have about your field?

Jacqueline: One common misconception people have about oceanography is that it entails just being out on a boat conducting field work. A lot of the work happens behind a computer, analyzing data, writing, securing funding, and collaborating across disciplines. It’s an ever-changing balance of field, lab, and desk work.

6. What part of your work feels most urgent today?

Jacqueline: Continued collaboration feels especially urgent, specifically uplifting the voices of industry members, such as oyster farmers, to identify research questions that are most relevant and impactful.

7. What achievement are you most proud of, even if few people know about it?

Jacqueline: I decided to apply to graduate school nine years after earning my undergraduate degree. Leaving the workforce and returning to student life was a big shift, and I’m proud to have taken that step. While I’m older than many of my peers, I wouldn’t change my timeline. Professional (and personal) growth isn’t linear, and there are infinite ways to get to where you want to go.

8. What keeps you going when conservation feels overwhelming?

Jacqueline: Being in graduate school, I’m surrounded by a large community of people who are deeply motivated. Being surrounded by that energy and commitment helps me stay focused, and reminds me that change is possible, even when progress feels slow.

9. What’s something the public rarely sees about how conservation really works?

Jacqueline: One thing the public rarely sees is just how complex and unpredictable conservation science can be. There are countless variables, including weather, mechanical issues, staffing, and funding, that we navigate every day. Carrying out research often means constantly adjusting and getting creative.

10. What’s one hard truth about ocean conservation we need to face?

Jacqueline: Climate change and environmental stressors disproportionately impact marginalized and coastal communities. Their voices and needs are often overlooked, yet they are on the frontlines of these challenges. Effective conservation requires listening to these communities, gathering their perspectives, and developing real solutions that will protect future generations.

11. What advice would you give your younger self entering this field?

Jacqueline: Everyone around you has something to teach you. Take the time to listen, ask questions, and build genuine connections.

12. Where do you realistically hope your work will be in 5 to 10 years?

Jacqueline: While my master’s research is ending, I hope that future research in Rhode Island continues to expand and support sustainable aquaculture. I’d love to see more state funding for projects that benefit both oysters and kelp, stronger partnerships between researchers and industry, and initiatives such as an experimental aquaculture farm.

13. What innovation excites you most in ocean conservation?

Jacqueline: I’m excited to see how aquaculture can become more “climate-ready.” For example, breeding or selecting oyster strains that are resilient to warming waters and ocean acidification could help farmers adapt to changing conditions.

14. Ocean sunrise or sunset? Any reason why?

Jacqueline: Sunrise, preferably viewed from a surfboard.

15. If you could be any marine animal, what would you be?

Jacqueline: Humpback whale. You can’t beat the ability to echolocate.

16. Coffee or tea (or what else?) in the field?

Jacqueline: Matcha latte.

17. Most unexpected or interesting place your work has taken you?

Jacqueline: I led marine conservation programs in the Dominican Republic for a summer. We partnered with local nonprofits on coral and mangrove restoration. It was interesting to see conservation happening in a different context. I loved learning about different approaches and realizing how much we can share and learn from one another across communities and countries.

18. One book, film, or documentary everyone should experience?

Jacqueline: Blue Planet 1 and 2.

19. What does a perfect day off look like?

Jacqueline: A bike ride to the beach, body surfing in warm summer waves, and low tide sea glass hunting.

20. One word you associate with the future of the ocean?

Jacqueline: Collaboration.


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Issue 130 - March2026

Beneath the War Zone, the Persian Gulf’s Marine Ecosystem Faces Its Next Great Test

Editor’s Note: Why We Are Featuring Iran Now

Iran is once again dominating headlines.

From widespread public demonstrations that surged across Iran in late 2025 into early this year, to the current escalation and the breaking of war, the country is being discussed globally in the context of politics, conflict, and human suffering. The loss of life and instability unfolding are real and devastating. Nothing in this feature is intended to diminish that reality.

But there is something else that often goes unspoken.

For years, inside and outside of environmental circles, people have quietly asked me a question. Sometimes with curiosity. Sometimes with hesitation. Sometimes almost with guilt.

“What is actually there?”

They were referring to biodiversity.

In today’s world, there is pressure to already know. When the breadth of human knowledge appears to sit at our fingertips, asking basic questions can feel uncomfortable. If a place overlaps with your professional field or your moral concern, you are expected to understand it fully.

Curiosity, however, should never carry shame.

At SEVENSEAS Media, we see questions as bridges. When a region becomes defined only by conflict, it becomes even more important to remember that it is also defined by landscapes, species, ecosystems, culture, and people who have lived in relationship with nature for millennia.

Iran is not only a geopolitical flashpoint. It is a country of vast mountain ranges, ancient forests, wetlands, deserts, coral communities, migratory flyways, and one of the most strategically significant marine corridors in the world. It sits at the intersection of terrestrial and marine biodiversity, connecting ecosystems across Central Asia, the Caucasus, the Arabian Peninsula, and the Indian Ocean.

It is home to coastal communities whose fishing traditions stretch back centuries, to wetlands that host migratory birds crossing continents, and to marine systems that sustain life far beyond their shorelines.

This feature has been in development for some time. In light of current events, we believe it is important to move forward thoughtfully and with care.

Education is not a distraction from suffering. It is part of long term resilience.

At SEVENSEAS Media, we promote education and peace across cultures and living in harmony with nature. We believe that understanding biodiversity can humanize places that are otherwise reduced to headlines. Conservation, at its best, transcends politics and builds shared responsibility for the natural world.

In the articles that follow, we explore the geography of Iran, its terrestrial biodiversity, its migratory importance, and its ocean and coastal ecosystems. We touch on traditional fishing cultures, current pressures, conservation challenges, and the organizations working to protect what remains.

As always, we are not here to simplify complexity. We are here to make space for informed curiosity and careful understanding.

In moments of conflict, it can feel easier to look away. We choose instead to look closer, and to recognize that ecological systems persist regardless of political borders.


Credit : NASA Earth Observatory / Landsat
Credit : NASA Earth Observatory / Landsat

The headlines are dominated by oil prices, geopolitical brinkmanship, and military escalation. But below the waterline of the Persian Gulf, a quieter catastrophe is taking shape, one that will outlast any ceasefire.

The Persian Gulf is not the barren petrochemical corridor that its reputation might suggest. It is a semi-enclosed sea of roughly 241,000 square kilometres, averaging just 35 metres in depth, connected to the wider Indian Ocean only through the 56-kilometre-wide Strait of Hormuz. Within this shallow, hypersaline basin lives a marine community that has adapted to conditions most ocean species could not survive: summer surface temperatures regularly exceeding 35°C, salinity levels above 45 PSU, and winter cooling that can plunge below 18°C. The organisms that thrive here are not merely surviving. They are demonstrating resilience strategies that climate scientists around the world are studying with increasing urgency.

Approximately 60 species of reef-building coral have been documented in the Gulf, including the endemic Acropora arabensis, found nowhere else on Earth. These corals withstand water temperatures of up to 36°C, well beyond the 32°C threshold that triggers bleaching in most tropical reefs. Researchers have increasingly turned to Persian Gulf coral populations as living laboratories for understanding how reef organisms might adapt to a warming planet. The Gulf also supports the world’s second-largest population of dugongs, after northern Australia, with an estimated 7,500 individuals grazing on seagrass beds along the coasts of Qatar, Bahrain, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia. Over 700 species of fish, populations of hawksbill and green sea turtles, Indo-Pacific humpback dolphins, whale sharks, and migratory seabird colonies all depend on this ecosystem.

The Immediate Threats

The environmental risks now facing this ecosystem are layered and compounding.

Oil contamination is the most visible concern. At least three commercial tankers have been struck by projectiles, with one confirmed ablaze and producing thick plumes of black smoke near Omani waters. A burning tanker does not simply release crude oil; it generates a toxic cocktail of partially combusted hydrocarbons, heavy metals, and particulate matter that settles across surrounding waters. With more than 150 laden tankers now anchored in open Gulf waters, the risk of collision, grounding, or further military targeting grows with each passing day. The shallow depth of the Gulf, averaging just 36 metres, means that spilled oil reaches the seafloor and coastal habitats far more quickly than in open ocean environments.

The sinking of at least nine Iranian warships introduces a different category of pollution. Sunken military vessels carry bunker fuel, hydraulic oils, lubricants, and munitions, all of which corrode and leach into surrounding waters over years and decades. A 2023 IUCN brief estimated that globally, over 8,500 shipwrecks are at risk of leaking approximately six billion gallons of oil. The Persian Gulf’s warm, shallow conditions accelerate corrosion, meaning these newly sunken warships could begin releasing contaminants faster than wrecks in colder, deeper waters.

Underwater noise pollution from military operations, including sonar, detonations, and sustained engine activity from hundreds of anchored vessels, adds biological stress. Marine mammals such as dugongs and dolphins rely on acoustic communication for feeding, mating, and navigation. Prolonged noise disruption can displace populations from critical habitats, with consequences that persist long after the sound stops.

Reports of potential mine-laying by Iranian forces introduce yet another dimension. Naval mines are indiscriminate by design; they threaten not only vessels but also the seabed itself, disturbing sediment and destroying benthic habitats when detonated. GPS jamming, confirmed across the region, increases the likelihood of navigational accidents among the hundreds of ships now attempting to shelter in place.

History’s Warning

The Persian Gulf carries the scars of previous conflicts. During the 1991 Gulf War, an estimated 4 to 11 million barrels of crude oil were deliberately released into its waters, covering more than 600 kilometres of Saudi coastline. Research conducted by Jacqueline Michel in 2010 found that oil had penetrated up to 50 centimetres into Gulf sediments and remained detectable 12 years after the spill. A 2017 study by Joydas et al. found “alarming levels” of hydrocarbons persisting in secluded bay areas more than 25 years later. While fish and bird populations showed encouraging recovery by 1994, the long-term contamination of sediments and coastal habitats tells a more complicated story.

The Gulf ecosystem did recover from 1991, a testament to its remarkable resilience. But it recovered into a world with fewer stressors. Today, the same ecosystem faces compounding pressures from coastal development, desalination plant discharge, climate-driven temperature extremes, and chronic oil pollution from routine shipping. A 2024 review published in Marine Pollution Bulletin found that 63.5% of the Gulf’s key habitats and species remain “data-deficient,” while 21.2% show documented decline. The margin for absorbing another major environmental shock has narrowed considerably.

What Comes Next

The environmental consequences of this crisis will not be determined by the conflict’s duration alone, but by what happens when it ends. After 1991, clean-up efforts focused almost exclusively on oil recovery from the water’s surface, while coastal habitats were largely neglected. If history offers any instruction, it is that the environmental response must begin alongside the military and diplomatic response, not after it.

International bodies, including the Regional Organization for the Protection of the Marine Environment (ROPME) and the International Maritime Organization, will need to coordinate rapid environmental assessment once conditions allow. Monitoring of coral communities, seagrass beds, and dugong populations should be prioritized, alongside sediment sampling near tanker anchorage sites and sunken vessel locations.

The Persian Gulf’s marine life has survived environmental extremes that would have destroyed ecosystems elsewhere. It has endured the largest deliberate oil spill in history and emerged, battered but functional. Whether it can absorb another round of military trauma on top of everything the 21st century has already thrown at it is a question that marine scientists are watching with deep concern, and one that the rest of us should be paying attention to as well.

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Aquacultures & Fisheries

Slowing Down to Save Whales Could Also Cut Shipping Emissions by Hundreds of Tonnes Per Voyage, White Paper Finds

Whale tail surfacing in the North Atlantic with a cargo ship in the distance highlighting vessel speed impacts on whale strikes and shipping emissions

The shipping industry has spent years debating how to cut emissions without overhauling entire fleets or waiting for next-generation fuels that remain decades from commercial viability. A white paper released March 2, 2026, by the Institute of Marine Engineering, Science and Technology (IMarEST) in collaboration with Montreal-based AI company Whale Seeker and True North Marine suggests the answer may already be hiding inside every vessel’s bridge controls: the throttle.

The paper, titled Navigating with Nature: How Smarter Ship Routing Delivers Emissions Cuts and Biodiversity Gains, models a transatlantic route from Montréal, Canada, to Le Havre, France, and integrates ecological sensitivity layers, habitat vulnerability indices, and speed optimization algorithms into the voyage planning process. The results, based on a single route simulation, are striking: modest speed adjustments along the transit could avoid approximately 198 tonnes of CO₂, cut underwater radiated noise exposure by more than 50%, and reduce the risk of a fatal whale strike by up to 86%. The optimized route also yielded fuel savings of 61.7 metric tonnes per crossing.

Those numbers deserve context. A single transatlantic voyage producing nearly 200 fewer tonnes of carbon dioxide is not a rounding error. Multiplied across the thousands of commercial transits that cross the North Atlantic each year, the cumulative reduction potential is enormous, and it requires no new vessel construction, no experimental fuels, and no regulatory overhaul. It requires information and willingness.

The white paper builds on a growing body of research showing that the relationship between vessel speed and whale mortality is not linear; it is exponential. Studies published in Scientific Reports and cited by NOAA Fisheries have consistently demonstrated that the probability of a fatal collision increases dramatically above 10 knots. For the critically endangered North Atlantic right whale, which numbers roughly 380 individuals and is the subject of an ongoing Unusual Mortality Event declared in 2017, vessel strikes remain one of the two leading causes of death alongside fishing gear entanglement. NOAA data shows that 42 right whales have died and 40 have been seriously injured since 2017, with the vast majority of those casualties traced to human interaction.

What the IMarEST paper adds to this picture is an economic case. The conventional framing positions whale protection and commercial efficiency as competing interests: slow your ship to save whales, and you lose time and money. The Navigating with Nature model flips that assumption. By integrating real-time ecological data into route planning, the optimized voyage actually saves fuel. The speed adjustments are not uniform reductions across the entire crossing; they are strategic, applied in areas of high ecological sensitivity where whale density, calving grounds, or migratory corridors overlap with the shipping lane. In lower-risk stretches, the vessel can maintain or even increase speed to compensate, keeping overall transit time within commercially acceptable margins.

“What this case study shows is that smarter speed choices could cut costs and emissions now, while also reducing underwater noise and pressure on ocean biodiversity,” said Emily Charry Tissier, CEO and co-founder of Whale Seeker. Charry Tissier, a biologist with two decades of experience in coastal and Arctic ecosystems, founded the company in 2018 to use AI and aerial detection for marine mammal monitoring. Whale Seeker’s technology has since been deployed with Transport Canada to detect right whales in real time in the St. Lawrence corridor.

The underwater noise dimension is worth pausing on. Chronic noise pollution from shipping is one of the least visible but most pervasive threats to marine mammals. Whales and dolphins rely on sound for communication, navigation, and foraging. Elevated background noise from vessel traffic can mask their vocalizations, disrupt feeding behavior, increase stress hormone levels, and in extreme cases cause physical injury. The International Maritime Organization has recognized underwater noise as a significant environmental concern, but regulatory action remains voluntary and unevenly implemented. A 50% reduction in noise exposure through route and speed optimization, as the white paper models, would represent a meaningful improvement for cetacean populations along one of the world’s busiest shipping corridors.

Alasdair Wishart, IMarEST’s technical and policy director, framed the paper in regulatory terms. “This white paper illustrates how the landscape could look for vessel owners and operators should there be further legislation to protect marine mammals,” he said. The subtext is clear: the shipping industry can either adopt these practices voluntarily and capture the fuel savings, or wait for governments to mandate them and lose the first-mover advantage.

The paper was endorsed by the United Nations Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development and produced through IMarEST’s Marine Mammal Special Interest Group, a technical body composed of experts from academia, industry, policy, and government. Strategic framing was supported by Fürstenberg Maritime Advisory.

It is worth noting what the paper does not claim. This is a case study based on a single simulated route, not a fleet-wide operational trial. Real-world implementation would face challenges including schedule pressures, port congestion, contractual obligations, and variable weather. The authors position the work as a starting point for integrating biodiversity intelligence into routing decisions, not a finished policy prescription.

Still, the fundamental insight is hard to argue with. In an industry under intense pressure to decarbonize, the notion that protecting marine life and reducing fuel costs can be pursued simultaneously, rather than traded against each other, is a compelling proposition. The ocean’s largest animals and the industry’s bottom line, it turns out, may have more aligned interests than decades of regulatory debate have assumed.

Source: IMarEST, Whale Seeker, True North Marine | Published March 2, 2026
White paper: Navigating with Nature: How Smarter Ship Routing Delivers Emissions Cuts and Biodiversity Gains | Available at imarest.org


About the organization

We are the largest marine organisation of our kind and the first institute to bring together marine engineers, scientists and technologists into one international multi-disciplinary professional body.

We promote the scientific development of marine engineering, science and technology, providing opportunities for the exchange of ideas and practices and upholding the status, standards and knowledge of marine professionals worldwide.

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